Ceasefire agreements, especially the preliminary ones, are not a sign of peace or even of an end to conflict. They’re just a pause to regroup and reconsider how to move forward with political negotiations. Moreover, they often have serious military and political implications for their belligerents.
In structure and content, this agreement resembles numerous others that have been proposed in recent months, including the seven-plus-two-day truce agreed to in November 2023. Both it and this new agreement are envisaged to have three distinct phases lasting 42 days (six weeks).
The agreement includes specific language requiring a separation of forces. This may be necessary militarily, but it can also reduce the potential for misunderstandings and “mistakes” that reignite the armed conflict. The agreement also includes detailed, specific language on troop movements, and it contains maps that should make those moves easier to track.
It’s important to note that this is the first time that both Israel and Hamas have accepted a Biden-proposed framework. This was largely because of US-led pressure and public threats from the outgoing Obama administration, and Netanyahu’s desire to start with a positive footing with the incoming Trump administration.
The fact that this ceasefire was announced and begun within four days of the agreement’s inception is impressive and encouraging. It’s a testament to the willingness of the two sides to engage in talks led by the United States and Egypt, and it is likely that, as discussions continue, these efforts will yield results.